Dr Mark Thyer
Mark Thyer is an Associate Professor in Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of Adelaide. He has over 17 years research experience in developing physical-statistical models to enhance predictions for hydrological, environmental and water resource models.
His research interests include flood/drought risk assessment; long-term climate variability, quantifying predictive uncertainty in hydrological models and behavourial water use modelling for integrated urban water management. He is an internationally recognised expert on use approaches to quantify of uncertainty in hydrological predictions. He has published numerous journal papers in top international water resources which are highly cited and is co-investigator on research grants worth over $5 million.
Mark has undertaken consultancy projects for many water supply authorities and regularly collaborates with local, national and international institutions, such as CSIRO and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the South Australian Goyder Institute for Water Research.
✓ Eligible to supervise Masters and PhD — email supervisor to discuss availability.
Developing innovative physical-statistical approaches to enhance predictions for water modelling in three focus areas:
Climate variability and rainfall/streamflow simulation for flood/drought risk assessment
- Incorporating climate processes into stochastic models to enhance drought risk assessment.
- Bayesian approaches to assess predictive uncertainty
- Incorporating spatial-temporal rainfall variability to enhance flood risk assessment
Streamflow simulation using hydrological models
- Quantifying impact of data/model uncertainty on the hydrological model predictive uncertainty using Bayesian Total Error Analysis (BATEA)
- Using innovate diagnostics/auxiliary data to evaluate hydrological models
Behavioural water use simulation for Integrated Urban Water Management
- Development of approaches for modelling household water use that capture the temporal and spatial behavioural dynamics.
- Over 17 years research experience in developing physical-statistical models to enhance predictions for hydrological/environmental/water resources models
- Internationally recognised expert on use of Bayesian approaches to quantify impact of uncertainty (input/parameter/data) in stochastic hydrological models
- 30 journal papers in the top international water resources journals (Water Resources Research and Journal of Hydrology)
- Co-Investigator on Research Grants worth over $5 million dollars
- Undertaken consultancy projects on stochastic modelling and drought risk assessment for Hunter Water Corporation, Gosford-Wyong Water Supply Authority, Sydney Catchment Authority, and Wimmera Mallee Pipeline Project
- Associate Editor for Australian Journal of Water Resources.
- Regularly review ARC grant applications and journal papers for top international journals
- Invited by CRC for Catchment Hydrology to contribute models to the stochastic climate library of the catchment modelling toolkit
- Research leader for eWater CRC project on development of behavioural end-use stochastic simulator (BESS) for household water use simulation, incorporated into eWater’s Urban Developer tool.
|2016||Associate Professor||University of Adelaide|
|2010 - 2015||Senior Lecturer||University of Adelaide|
|2009 - 2009||Senior Lecturer||University of Newcastle|
|2004 - 2008||Lecturer||University of Newcastle|
|2003 - 2004||Water Resource Engineer||Tonkin Consulting|
|2001 - 2002||Postdoctoral Researcher||University of British Columbia|
|2015||Award||Ministers Award for Excellence in Water Sustainability for "SA Climate Ready Project"||South Australian Water Industry Alliance||Australia|
|2014||Award||Research Spotlight Award from American Geophysical Union (top 5% of papers in AGU) for Westra et al (2014)||American Geophysical Union||United States|
|2014||Award||Research Spotlight Award from American Geophysical Union (top 5% of Papers in AGU) for Evin et al (2014)||American Geophysical Union||United States|
|2014||Award||Editors Highlight Award from Water Resources Research (top 5% of papers in WRR) for Evin et al (2014)||Water Resources Research||United States|
|2007||Research Award||Pro-Vice Chancellor’s Award for Research Excellence||University of Newcastle||Australia|
|1999||Award||Best Student Presentation Award||Water 99 Joint Congress||Australia|
|2004 - 2006||University of Newcastle Australia||Australia||Graduate Certificate in Tertiary Teaching|
|2001||University of Newcastle Australia||Australia||PhD, Doctor of Philosophy in Civil Engineering|
|1993 - 1996||University of Adelaide||Australia||Bachelor Degree (1st Class Honours) in Civil Engineering|
|2016||Kuczera, G., Kavetski, D., Renard, B., & Thyer, M. A. (2016). Bayesian Methods. In V. Singh (Ed.), Handbook of Applied Hydrology, Second Edition (Second ed., pp. 10 pages). McGraw-Hill.|
|2010||Srikanthan, S., Kuczera, G., & Thyer, M. (2010). A simple method for incorporating parameter uncertainty in stochastic data generation. In Advances in Geosciences: Volume 17: Hydrological Science (HS) (pp. 53-64).
|2012||Thyer, M. A., Lambert, M., Li, J., Kuczera, G., & Metcalfe, A. (2012). A new approach for annual flood frequency estimation: Hybrid Causative Event Method. Poster session presented at the meeting of 34th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium. Sydney, Australia.
|2008||Henley, B., Thyer, M., Kuczera, G., & Franks, S. (2008). Short-term drought risk dynamics: The impact of multi-decadal climate variability and water supply system properties. Poster session presented at the meeting of World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2008: Ahupua'a - Proceedings of the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2008.
|Lambert, M., Thyer, M., li, J., Kuczera, G., & Metcalfe, A. (n.d.). An efficient hybrid causative event-based approach for estimating flood frequency: Conference Poster. Poster session presented at the meeting of Unknown Conference.
|2015||Thyer, M. A., & Westra, S. (2015). Adelaide is facing a dry future – it needs to start planning now. The Conversation.|
|2015||Thyer, M. A., Li, J. I. N. G., Lambert, M., Kuczera, G., & Metcalfe, A. (2015). Virtual hydrological time series for flood frequency analysis.
|Liu, M., Thyer, M., Kavetski, D., Kuczera, G., Mcinerney, D., Thayalakumaran, T., & Githui, F. (n.d.). Evaluating the importance of spatio-temporal variability in irrigation inputs for hydrological predictions in irrigated catchments - Datasets.
|2015-2017||A Robust Integrated Streamflow Forecasting Framework for Australian Water Information Agencies||Kavetski, Thyer, Kuczera, Tuteja, Shin, Seed, Lerat, Tibaldi, Clark, Wood||$270k|
|2014||Evaluation of Postprocessing Techniques for Rainfall and Streamflow Forecasts||Thyer, Kavetski, Kuczera, McInerney||Bureau of Meteorology||$125k|
|2012-2014||Optimal Water Resource Mix for Metropolitan Adelaide||Thyer, Lambert, Dandy, Maier||$384k|
|2011-2014||Development of an agreed set of climate projects for South Australia||Thyer, Lambert, Green||Goyder Institute for Water Research||$505k|
|2010-2012||Inferring hydrologic model structure using Bayesian Total Error Analysis||Kavetski, Kuczera, Thyer, Franks||ARC Discovery||$240k|
|2010-2011||UoA eWater Project||Dandy, Maier, Thyer||eWater CRC||$254k|
|2010-2013||An integrated modelling approach for the efficient management of irrigated landscapes||Thyer, Kavetski, Kuczera, Franks, Selle, Githui, Thayalakumaran||ARC Linkage, DEPI(Vic)||$185k|
|2010-2012||Adapting Bayesian Total Error Analysis to River Systems Modelling||Kuczera, Thyer, Kavetski||CSIRO - Land and Water||$200k|
|2010-2011||Supply of Bayesian Total Error Analysis||Kuczera, Thyer, Kavetski||Bureau of Meteorology||$185k|
|2010-2012||A new flood design methodology for a variable and changing climate||Lambert, Kuczera, Thyer, Metcalfe||ARC Discovery||$325k|
|2010-2011||Improving flood forecasting via robust handling of data and model uncertainties in hydrologic predictions||Thyer, Kavetski, Kuczera, Franks, Renard, Andreassian, Perrin, Lang, Sauquet||International Science Linkages||$20k|
|2008-2010||Urban Water Systems Project||Kuczera, Thyer, Rodriguez, Kavetski||eWater CRC||$1,124k|
|2007-2009||A stochastic space-time model of rainfall fields in large heterogeneous regions||Lambert, Metcalfe, Kuczera, Thyer||ARC Discovery||$345k|
|2007-2009||Efficient and Robust Prediction at Ungauged Catchments||Kuczera, Thyer, Franks||ARC Discovery||$180k|
|2006-2007||Innovative WSUD intervention strategies||Coombes, Thyer, Kuczera, Rodriguez||eWater CRC||$321k|
|2006-2007||Total error framework for model calibration||Kuczera, Thyer, Coombes||eWater CRC||$562k|
|2006-2009||A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach for Simulating Multi-time scale Hydrological Variability for Water Resources Planning||Thyer, Kuczera, Franks, Lambert, Metcalfe and Berghout.||ARC Linkage, Hunter Water Corporation||$117k|
|Date||Role||Research Topic||Program||Degree Type||Student Load||Student Name|
|2018||Principal Supervisor||Innovative Approaches for Identifying Household Water End-Uses||Master of Philosophy||Master||Full Time||Miss Lucy Hannah Preiss|
|Date||Role||Research Topic||Program||Degree Type||Student Load||Student Name|
|2013 - 2017||Principal Supervisor||Influence Diagnostics in Hydrological Modeling||Doctor of Philosophy||Doctorate||Full Time||David Peter Wright|
|2011 - 2016||Co-Supervisor||Stochastic Spatial Rainfall Modelling for Hydrological Design: Development of a Parsimonious Simulation Approach and Virtual Hydrological Evaluation Framework||Doctor of Philosophy||Doctorate||Full Time||Dr Bree Sarah Bennett|
|2007 - ongoing||Member||International Association of Hydrological Sciences||United Kingdom|
|2007 - ongoing||Member||Engineers Australia||Australia|
|1999 - ongoing||Member||American Geophysical Union||United States|
|Date||Engagement Type||Partner Name|
|2010 - ongoing||Consultant||Bureau of Meterology|