Professor Joshua Ross

Professor

School of Computer and Mathematical Sciences

Faculty of Sciences, Engineering and Technology

Eligible to supervise Masters and PhD - email supervisor to discuss availability.

I am a Professor of Applied Mathematics.

My research is focused on developing novel mathematical and statistical methods, and new probabilistic models, that assist in understanding the factors that are most important to complex systems in epidemiology and conservation biology. I use these techniques to assist in determining effective public health, and conservation/biosecurity, policy.

My Research
Career
Publications
Grants and Funding
Supervision
Professional Activities
Contact

Research Interests: Data Science; Mathematical modelling in Ecology, Epidemiology and Evolution; Stochastic modelling; Bayesian computational statistics; Operations Research; Outbreak Analytics.

SA COVID-Ready modelling

I am the lead modeller for the SA Government's COVID-Ready modelling. With Dr Thomas Prowse we have undertaken modelling to support decision making regarding COVID-19 in South Australia.

Delta and Opening Borders

We first undertook modelling concerning the Delta variant and scenario planning to inform the policy settings that should be in place when opening borders following reaching 80% (16+) vaccination coverage, and for 90% (12+) vaccination coverage. The 80% report is available here.

A video explaining this work from the SA Chief Public Health Officer Prof. Nicola Spurrier is below.

Omicron and Rapid Response

During the third week post-opening of borders it became evident that cases were not tracking as expected for Delta, and the possibility of the emergence of newly-declared variant of concern, Omicron, was investigated. This led to modelling to inform rapid response.

Details of this can be found here, including another video explaining this work by Prof. Nicola Spurrier

Lifting of Activity Restrictions

Most recently, I have been modelling the impact of lifting of activity restrictions, vaccination numbers, and other changes to Transmission Potential on cases and hospitalisations in South Australia.

Please find further released details here.

Throughout, this work has been reported to the SA COVID Transition Committee, and the SA COVID-Ready Committee, and has involved a collaboration with SAHMRI and SA Health. The work has supported decision making around Activity Restrictions, School opening, and Health System Capacity provisioning (e.g., see here).

Appointments

Date	Position	Institution name
2018 - ongoing	Professor of Applied Mathematics	University of Adelaide
2015 - 2017	Associate Professor in Applied Mathematics	University of Adelaide
2014 - 2018	ARC Future Fellow	University of Adelaide
2013 - 2014	Senior Lecturer in Applied Mathematics	University of Adelaide
2010 - 2012	Lecturer in Applied Mathematics	University of Adelaide
2007 - 2010	Zukerman Junior Research Fellow	King's College, University of Cambridge
2006 - 2007	Post-doctoral Research Fellow	University of Warwick

Awards and Achievements

Date	Type	Title	Institution Name	Country	Amount
2020	Scholarship	Fulbright Future Scholarship	Fulbright Commission	Australia	-
2017	Research Award	Moran Medal	Australian Academy of Science	Australia	-
2016	Research Award	J.H. Michell Medal	ANZIAM	-	-

Education

Institution name	Country	Title
University of Queensland	Australia	PhD in Mathematics
University of Queensland	Australia	GCEd (Higher Education)
University of Queensland	Australia	BSc (Hons I) (Mathematics)
University of Queensland	Australia	BSc (Mathematics & Statistics)
University of Queensland	Australia	BA (Economics)

Research Interests

Applied Mathematics Biological Mathematics Conservation and Biodiversity Ecology Epidemiology Numerical and Computational Mathematics Public Health Simulation and Modelling Stochastic Analysis and Modelling

Journals

Year	Citation
2023	Stringham, O. C., Maher, J., Lassaline, C. R., Wood, L., Moncayo, S., Toomes, A., . . . Cassey, P. (2023). The dark web trades wildlife, but mostly for use as drugs. People and Nature, 5(3), 999-1009. DOI Scopus3
2022	Birand, A., Cassey, P., Ross, J. V., Russell, J. C., Thomas, P., & Prowse, T. A. A. (2022). Gene drives for vertebrate pest control: realistic spatial modelling of eradication probabilities and times for island mouse populations. Molecular ecology, 31(6), 1907-1923. DOI Scopus11 WoS8 Europe PMC4
2022	Toomes, A., García‐Díaz, P., Stringham, O. C., Ross, J. V., Mitchell, L., & Cassey, P. (2022). Drivers of the Australian native pet trade: the role of species traits, socioeconomic attributes and regulatory systems. Journal of Applied Ecology, 59(5), 1268-1278. DOI Scopus5 WoS4
2022	Birand, A., Cassey, P., Ross, J. V., Thomas, P. Q., & Prowse, T. A. A. (2022). Scalability of genetic biocontrols for eradicating invasive alien mammals. NeoBiota, 74, 93-103. DOI Scopus3 WoS2
2022	Gierus, L., Birand, A., Bunting, M. D., Godahewa, G. I., Piltz, S. G., Oh, K. P., . . . Thomas, P. Q. (2022). Leveraging a natural murine meiotic drive to suppress invasive populations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of USA, 119(46), 1-11. DOI Scopus5 WoS5 Europe PMC3
2021	Teo, M., Bean, N., & Ross, J. V. (2021). Optimised prophylactic vaccination in metapopulations. Epidemics, 34, 100420-1-100420-18. DOI Scopus1 WoS1 Europe PMC1
2021	Shearer, F. M., Moss, R., Price, D. J., Zarebski, A. E., Ballard, P. G., McVernon, J., . . . McCaw, J. M. (2021). Development of an influenza pandemic decision support tool linking situational analytics to national response policy. Epidemics, 36, 1-11. DOI Scopus3 WoS3 Europe PMC2
2021	Stringham, O. C., Moncayo, S., Hill, K. G. W., Toomes, A., Mitchell, L., Ross, J. V., & Cassey, P. (2021). Text classification to streamline online wildlife trade analyses.. PloS one, 16(7), 1-12. DOI Scopus8 WoS6
2021	Stringham, O. C., García-Díaz, P., Toomes, A., Mitchell, L., Ross, J. V., & Cassey, P. (2021). Live reptile smuggling is predicted by trends in the legal exotic pet trade. Conservation Letters, 14(6), 10 pages. DOI Scopus7 WoS5
2021	Stringham, O. C., Moncayo, S., Thomas, E., Heinrich, S., Toomes, A., Maher, J., . . . Cassey, P. (2021). Dataset of seized wildlife and their intended uses. Data in Brief, 39, 107531. DOI Scopus3 WoS1
2021	Ballard, P. G., Black, A. J., & Ross, J. V. (2021). Inference of population-level disease transmissibility from household-structured symptom onset data.
2020	Cope, R. C., & Ross, J. V. (2020). Identification of the relative timing of infectiousness and symptom onset for outbreak control. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 486, 1-7. DOI Scopus1 WoS1
2020	Heinrich, S., Ross, J. V., Gray, T. N. E., Delean, S., Marx, N., & Cassey, P. (2020). Plight of the commons: 17 years of wildlife trafficking in Cambodia. Biological Conservation, 241, 1-9. DOI Scopus12 WoS12
2020	Shearer, F. M., Moss, R., McVernon, J., Ross, J. V., & McCaw, J. M. (2020). Infectious disease pandemic planning and response: incorporating decision analysis. PLoS Medicine, 17(1), e1003018. DOI Scopus52 WoS42 Europe PMC25
2020	Stringham, O. C., Toomes, A., Kanishka, A. M., Mitchell, L., Heinrich, S., Ross, J. V., & Cassey, P. (2020). A guide to using the Internet to monitor and quantify the wildlife trade.. Conserv Biol, 35(4), 1130-1139. DOI Scopus40 WoS33 Europe PMC10
2020	Alahmadi, A., Belet, S., Black, A., Cromer, D., Flegg, J. A., House, T., . . . Zarebski, A. E. (2020). Influencing public health policy with data-informed mathematical models of infectious diseases: Recent developments and new challenges.. Epidemics, 32, 100393. DOI Scopus21 WoS16 Europe PMC8
2020	Thompson, R. N., Hollingsworth, T. D., Isham, V., Arribas-Bel, D., Ashby, B., Britton, T., . . . Restif, O. (2020). Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies.. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 287(1932), 20201405. DOI Scopus72 WoS66 Europe PMC53
2020	Toomes, A., Stringham, O. C., Mitchell, L., Ross, J., & Cassey, P. (2020). Australia's wish list of exotic pets: biosecurity and conservation implications of desired alien and illegal pet species. NEOBIOTA, 60(60), 43-59. DOI Scopus13 WoS12
2020	Liu, D., Mitchell, L., Cope, R. C., Carlson, S. J., & Ross, J. V. (2020). Elucidating user behaviours in a digital health surveillance system to correct prevalence estimates. Epidemics, 33, 1-7. DOI Scopus1 WoS1 Europe PMC1
2019	Heinrich, S., Ross, J. V., & Cassey, P. (2019). Of cowboys, fish, and pangolins: US trade in exotic leather. Conservation Science and Practice, 1(8), 1-10. DOI Scopus11 WoS9
2019	Garcia-Diaz, P., Ross, J. V., Vall-llosera, M., & Cassey, P. (2019). Low detectability of alien reptiles can lead to biosecurity management failure: a case study from Christmas Island (Australia). NeoBiota, 45(45), 75-92. DOI Scopus3 WoS4
2019	Liu, D., Mitchell, L., Cope, R., Carlson, S., & Ross, J. (2019). Elucidating user behaviours in a digital health surveillance system to correct prevalence estimates. COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 preprints from medRxiv and bioRxiv. DOI
2019	Walker, J. N., Black, A. J., & Ross, J. V. (2019). Bayesian model discrimination for partially-observed epidemic models. Mathematical Biosciences, 317, 108266-1-108266-13. DOI Scopus2 WoS2 Europe PMC1
2019	Cope, R., & Ross, J. (2019). Identification of the relative timing of infectiousness and symptom onset for outbreak control. Journal of Theoretical Biology. DOI
2019	Sudweeks, J., Hollingsworth, B., Blondel, D. V., Campbell, K. J., Dhole, S., Eisemann, J. D., . . . Lloyd, A. L. (2019). Locally Fixed Alleles: A method to localize gene drive to island populations.. Scientific reports, 9(1), 15821. DOI Scopus33 WoS31 Europe PMC23
2019	Prowse, T. A., Adikusuma, F., Cassey, P., Thomas, P., & Ross, J. V. (2019). A Y-chromosome shredding gene drive for controlling pest vertebrate populations. eLife, 8, e41873-1-e41873-19. DOI Scopus30 WoS24 Europe PMC17
2019	Suhr, E. L., O'Dowd, D. J., Suarez, A., Cassey, P., Wittmann, T. A., Ross, J., & Cope, R. C. (2019). Ant interceptions reveal roles of transport and commodity in identifying biosecurity risk pathways into Australia. NeoBiota, 2019(53), 1-24. DOI Scopus16 WoS14
2019	Cope, R., Ross, J., Wittmann, T., Watts, M., & Cassey, P. (2019). Predicting the risk of biological invasions using environmental similarity and transport network connectedness. Risk Analysis, 39(1), 35-53. DOI Scopus14 WoS14 Europe PMC2
2018	Rebuli, N., Bean, N., & Ross, J. (2018). Estimating the basic reproductive number during the early stages of an emerging epidemic. Theoretical Population Biology, 119, 26-36. DOI Scopus8 WoS7 Europe PMC6
2018	Brock, A., Ross, J., Parikh, S., & Esterman, A. (2018). The role of antimalarial quality in the emergence and transmission of resistance. Medical Hypotheses, 111, 49-54. DOI Scopus8 WoS8 Europe PMC6
2018	Yan, A., Black, A., McCaw, J., Rebuli, N., Ross, J., Swan, A., & Hickson, R. (2018). The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities. Mathematical Biosciences, 303, 139-147. DOI Scopus2 WoS2 Europe PMC1
2018	Price, D. J., Bean, N. G., Ross, J. V., & Tuke, J. (2018). Designing group dose-response studies in the presence of transmission. Mathematical Biosciences, 304, 62-78. DOI Scopus3 WoS3 Europe PMC3
2018	Cope, R., Ross, J., Chilver, M., Stocks, N., & Mitchell, L. (2018). Characterising seasonal influenza epidemiology using primary care surveillance data. PLoS Computational Biology, 14(8), 1006377-1-1006377-21. DOI Scopus14 WoS11 Europe PMC5
2018	Kinyanjui, T., Middleton, J., Güttel, S., Cassell, J., Ross, J., & House, T. (2018). Scabies in residential care homes: modelling, inference and interventions for well-connected population sub-units. PLoS Computational Biology, 14(3), e1006046-1-e1006046-24. DOI Scopus14 WoS14 Europe PMC5
2018	Price, D., Bean, N., Ross, J., & Tuke, J. (2018). An induced natural selection heuristic for finding optimal Bayesian experimental designs. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 126(C), 112-124. DOI Scopus9 WoS9
2018	Prowse, T. A. A., Cassey, P., Ross, J. V., Pfitzner, C., Wittmann, T., & Thomas, P. (2018). Correction to: Dodging silver bullets: Good CRISPR gene-drive design is critical for eradicating exotic vertebrates (Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2017 ) 284 (20170799) DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2017.0799). Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 285(1888), 2 pages. DOI Scopus4 WoS4 Europe PMC3
2018	Cope, R., Ross, J., Chilver, M., Stocks, N., & Mitchell, L. (2018). Connecting surveillance and population-level influenza incidence. DOI Europe PMC1
2018	Wilkins, K., Prowse, T., Cassey, P., Thomas, P., & Ross, J. (2018). Pest demography critically determines the viability of synthetic gene drives for population control. Mathematical Biosciences, 305, 160-169. DOI Scopus15 WoS15 Europe PMC8
2017	Brock, A. R., Gibbs, C. A., Ross, J. V., & Esterman, A. (2017). The Impact of Antimalarial Use on the Emergence and Transmission of Plasmodium falciparum Resistance: A Scoping Review of Mathematical Models.. Tropical medicine and infectious disease, 2(4), 54. DOI Scopus5 WoS4 Europe PMC3
2017	Brock, A., Ross, J., Greenhalgh, S., Durham, D., Galvani, A., Parikh, S., & Esterman, A. (2017). Modelling the impact of antimalarial quality on the transmission of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance in Plasmodium falciparum. Infectious Disease Modelling, 2(2), 161-187. DOI Scopus4 Europe PMC4
2017	Prowse, T., Cassey, P., Ross, J., Pfitzner, C., Wittmann, T., & Thomas, P. (2017). Dodging silver bullets: good CRISPR gene-drive design is critical for eradicating exotic vertebrates.. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 284(1860), 20170799-1-20170799-10. DOI Scopus83 WoS79 Europe PMC43
2017	Ballard, P., Bean, N., & Ross, J. (2017). Intervention to maximise the probability of epidemic fade-out. Mathematical Biosciences, 293, 1-10. DOI Scopus1 WoS2 Europe PMC2
2017	Walker, J., Ross, J., & Black, A. (2017). Inference of epidemiological parameters from household stratified data. PLoS ONE, 12(10), e0185910-1-e0185910-21. DOI Scopus5 WoS5 Europe PMC1
2017	García-Díaz, P., Ross, J., Woolnough, A., & Cassey, P. (2017). Managing the risk of wildlife disease introduction: pathway-level biosecurity for preventing the introduction of alien ranaviruses. Journal of Applied Ecology, 54(1), 234-241. DOI Scopus14 WoS12
2017	García-Díaz, P., Ross, J., Woolnough, A., & Cassey, P. (2017). The illegal wildlife trade is a likely source of alien species. Conservation Letters, 10(6), 690-698. DOI Scopus23 WoS20
2017	Rebuli, N., Bean, N., & Ross, J. (2017). Hybrid Markov chain models of S-I-R disease dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 75(3), 521-541. DOI Scopus11 WoS10 Europe PMC5
2017	Black, A., Geard, N., McCaw, J., McVernon, J., & Ross, J. (2017). Characterising pandemic severity and transmissibility from data collected during first few hundred studies. Epidemics, 19, 61-73. DOI Scopus27 WoS25 Europe PMC16
2016	Heinrich, S., Wittmann, T., Prowse, T., Ross, J., Delean, S., Shepherd, C., & Cassey, P. (2016). Where did all the pangolins go? International CITES trade in pangolin species. Global Ecology and Conservation, 8, 241-253. DOI Scopus117 WoS104
2016	Mitchell, L., & Ross, J. (2016). A data-driven model for influenza transmission incorporating media effects. Royal Society Open Science, 3(10), 160481-1-160481-10. DOI Scopus23 WoS19 Europe PMC7
2016	Ballard, P. G., Bean, N. G., & Ross, J. V. (2016). The probability of epidemic fade-out is non-monotonic in transmission rate for the Markovian SIR model with demography. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 393, 170-178. DOI Scopus7 WoS5 Europe PMC3
2016	Price, D. J., Bean, N. G., Ross, J. V., & Tuke, J. (2016). On the efficient determination of optimal Bayesian experimental designs using ABC: a case study in optimal observation of epidemics. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 172, 1-15. DOI Scopus9 WoS9
2016	Bean, N., Eshragh, A., & Ross, J. (2016). Fisher Information for a partially-observable simple birth process. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 45(24), 7161-7183. DOI Scopus1 WoS2
2016	Lydeamore, M., Bean, N., Black, A., & Ross, J. (2016). Choice of antiviral allocation scheme for pandemic influenza depends on strain transmissibility, delivery delay and stockpile size. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 78(2), 293-321. DOI Scopus2 WoS1 Europe PMC2
2016	Cope, R., Ross, J., Wittmann, T., Prowse, T., & Cassey, P. (2016). Integrative analysis of the physical transport network into Australia. PLoS One, 11(2), e0148831-1-e0148831-16. DOI Scopus12 WoS11 Europe PMC2
2016	Johnston, S. T., Ross, J. V., Binder, B. J., Sean McElwain, D. L., Haridas, P., & Simpson, M. J. (2016). Quantifying the effect of experimental design choices for in vitro scratch assays. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 400, 19-31. DOI Scopus31 WoS30 Europe PMC13
2015	Ross, J., & Black, A. (2015). Contact tracing and antiviral prophylaxis in the early stages of a pandemic: the probability of a major outbreak. Mathematical Medicine and Biology, 32(3), 331-343. DOI Scopus8 WoS7 Europe PMC4
2015	García-Díaz, P., Ross, J., Ayres, C., & Cassey, P. (2015). Understanding the biological invasion risk posed by the global wildlife trade: propagule pressure drives the introduction and establishment of Nearctic turtles. Global Change Biology, 21(3), 1078-1091. DOI Scopus48 WoS47 Europe PMC6
2015	Black, A., & Ross, J. (2015). Computation of epidemic final size distributions. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 367, 159-165. DOI Scopus24 WoS23 Europe PMC8
2015	Keeling, M., & Ross, J. (2015). Optimal prophylactic vaccination in segregated populations: When can we improve on the equalising strategy?. Epidemics, 11, 7-13. DOI Scopus7 WoS8 Europe PMC5
2015	Cope, R., Prowse, T., Ross, J., Wittmann, T., & Cassey, P. (2015). Temporal modelling of ballast water discharge and ship-mediated invasion risk to Australia. Royal Society Open Science, 2(4), 150039-1-150039-15. DOI Scopus22 WoS20 Europe PMC5
2015	Binder, B. J., Landman, K. A., Newgreen, D. F., & Ross, J. V. (2015). Incomplete penetrance: the role of stochasticity in developmental cell colonization. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 380, 309-314. DOI Scopus6 WoS7 Europe PMC4
2015	Bean, N. G., Elliott, R., Eshragh, A., & Ross, J. V. (2015). On binomial observations of continuous-time Markovian population models. Journal of Applied Probability, 52(2), 457-472. DOI Scopus2 WoS2
2015	Robinson, S., Souter, N., Bean, N., Ross, J., Thompson, R., & Bjornsson, K. (2015). Statistical description of wetland hydrological connectivity to the River Murray in South Australia under both natural and regulated conditions. Journal of Hydrology, 531(3), 929-939. DOI Scopus13 WoS12
2014	Cope, R., Cassey, P., Hugo, G., & Ross, J. (2014). Assessment of the risk of Ebola importation to Australia. PLoS Currents, 6, 1-9. DOI Europe PMC2
2014	McKinley, T., Ross, J., Deardon, R., & Cook, A. (2014). Simulation-based Bayesian inference for epidemic models. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 71, 434-447. DOI Scopus47 WoS42
2014	Davies, K., Green, J., Bean, N., Binder, B., & Ross, J. (2014). On the derivation of approximations to cellular automata models and the assumption of independence. Mathematical Biosciences, 253(1), 63-71. DOI Scopus7 WoS6 Europe PMC3
2014	Black, A., House, T., Keeling, M., & Ross, J. (2014). The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 359, 45-53. DOI Scopus8 WoS9 Europe PMC6
2014	Ross, J. V., & Binder, B. J. (2014). Approximating spatially exclusive invasion processes. Physical Review E: Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics, 89(5), 052709-1-052709-7. DOI Scopus2 WoS2
2014	Johnston, S., Simpson, M., McElwain, D., Binder, B., & Ross, J. (2014). Interpreting scratch assays using pair density dynamics and approximate Bayesian computation. Open Biology, 4(9), 140097-1-140097-9. DOI Scopus34 WoS35 Europe PMC17
2013	Bean, N., Pollett, P., Ross, J., & Taylor, P. (2013). Preface. Ecological Modelling, 249, 1-2. DOI Scopus1 WoS1
2013	House, T., Ross, J., & Sirl, D. (2013). How big is an outbreak likely to be? Methods for epidemic final-size calculation. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, 469(2150), 1-22. DOI Scopus40 WoS38
2013	Black, A., & Ross, J. (2013). Estimating a Markovian epidemic model using household serial interval data from the early phase of an epidemic. PLoS One, 8(8), 1-8. DOI Scopus11 WoS10 Europe PMC7
2013	Black, A., House, T., Keeling, M., & Ross, J. (2013). Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza. Journal of the Royal Society. Interface, 10(81), 1-10. DOI Scopus31 WoS28 Europe PMC16
2013	Pagendam, D., & Ross, J. (2013). Optimal use of GPS transmitter for estimating species migration rate. Ecological Modelling, 249, 37-41. DOI Scopus5 WoS5
2012	Binder, B., Ross, J., & Simpson, M. (2012). A hybrid model for studying spatial aspects of infectious diseases. The ANZIAM Journal, 54(1-2), 37-49. DOI Scopus3 WoS3
2012	House, T., Inglis, N., Ross, J., Wilson, F., Suleman, S., Edeghere, O., . . . Keeling, M. (2012). Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in households. BMC Medicine, 10(1), 1-9. DOI Scopus27 WoS28 Europe PMC22
2012	Ross, J. (2012). On parameter estimation in population models III: Time-inhomogeneous processes and observation error. Theoretical Population Biology, 82(1), 1-17. DOI Scopus5 WoS4 Europe PMC3
2011	Ross, J. (2011). Invasion of infectious diseases in finite homogeneous populations. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 289(1), 83-89. DOI Scopus19 WoS19 Europe PMC9
2011	Danon, L., Ford, A., House, T., Jewell, C., Keeling, M., Roberts, G., . . . Vernon, M. (2011). Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease. Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases, 2011(284909), 284909-1-284909-28. DOI Scopus282 Europe PMC120
2011	Spence, L., Ross, J., Wiser, S., Allen, R., & Coomes, D. (2011). Disturbance affects short-term facilitation, but not long-term saturation, of exotic plant invasion in New Zealand forest. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B, 278(1711), 1457-1466. DOI Scopus15 WoS16 Europe PMC5
2011	Conlan, A., Eames, K., Gage, J., von Kirchbach, J., Ross, J., Saenz, R., & Gog, J. (2011). Measuring social networks in British primary schools through scientific engagement. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B - Biological Sciences, 278(1711), 1467-1475. DOI Scopus48 WoS50 Europe PMC28
2010	Pollett, P., Dooley, A., & Ross, J. (2010). Modelling population processes with random initial conditions. Mathematical Biosciences, 223(2), 142-150. DOI Scopus5 WoS4
2010	Ross, J., & Pollett, P. (2010). SImple rules for ranking and optimally managing metapopulations. Ecological Modelling, 221(21), 2515-2520. DOI Scopus8 WoS8
2010	Ross, J., House, T., & Keeling, M. (2010). Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households. PLoS One, 5(3), 1-9. DOI Scopus38 WoS34 Europe PMC20
2010	Ross, J. (2010). Computationally exact methods for stochastic periodic dynamics: Spatiotemporal dispersal and temporally forced transmission. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 262(1), 14-22. DOI Scopus5 WoS6 Europe PMC1
2009	Ross, J. (2009). A note on density dependence in population models. Ecological Modelling, 220(23), 3472-3474. DOI Scopus25 WoS23
2009	Dangerfield, C., & Ross, J. (2009). Integrating stochasticity and network structure into an epidemic model. Journal of the Royal Society. Interface, 6(38), 761-774. DOI Scopus51 WoS48 Europe PMC26
2009	Keeling, M., & Ross, J. (2009). Efficient methods for studying stochastic disease and population dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology, 75(2-3), 133-141. DOI Scopus12 WoS11 Europe PMC7
2009	Ross, J., Pagendam, D., & Pollett, P. (2009). On parameter estimation in population models II: multi-dimensional processes and transient dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology, 75(2-3), 123-132. DOI Scopus35 WoS33 Europe PMC14
2008	Keeling, M., & Ross, J. (2008). On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society. Interface, 5(19), 171-181. DOI Scopus136 WoS127 Europe PMC57
2008	Ross, J., Sirl, D., Pollett, P., & Possingham, H. (2008). Metapopulation persistence in a dynamic landscape: more habitat or better stewardship?. Ecological Applications, 18(3), 590-598. DOI Scopus15 WoS15 Europe PMC6
2007	Ross, J., Taimre, T., & Pollett, P. (2007). Estimation for queues from queue length data. Queueing Systems, 55(2), 131-138. DOI Scopus32 WoS27
2007	Wagner, L., Ross, J., & Possingham, H. (2007). Catastrophe management and inter-reserve distance for marine reserve networks. Ecological Modelling, 201(1), 82-88. DOI Scopus11 WoS10
2007	Cairns, B., Ross, J., & Taimre, T. (2007). A comparison of models for predicting population persistence. Ecological Modelling, 201(1), 19-26. DOI Scopus10 WoS12
2007	Ross, J., & Pollett, P. (2007). On costs and decisions in population management. Ecological Modelling, 201(1), 60-66. DOI Scopus7 WoS6
2007	Pollett, P., & Ross, J. (2007). Management, control and decision making for ecological systems. Ecological Modelling, 201(1), 1. DOI
2006	Ross, J. (2006). A stochastic metapopulation model accounting for habitat dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 52(6), 788-806. DOI Scopus27 WoS28 Europe PMC15
2006	Ross, J. (2006). Stochastic models for mainland-island metapopulations in static and dynamic landscapes. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 68(2), 417-449. DOI Scopus16 WoS16 Europe PMC10
2006	Ross, J. (2006). Comment on "On the Regulation of Populations of Mammals, Birds, Fish, and Insects" II. Science, 311(5764), 1100. DOI Scopus8 WoS11 Europe PMC3
2006	Ross, J., & Pollett, P. (2006). Extinction times for a birth-death process with two phases. Mathematical Biosciences, 202(2), 310-322. DOI Scopus4 WoS5
2006	Ross, J., Taimre, T., & Pollett, P. (2006). On parameter estimation in population models. Theoretical Population Biology, 70(4), 498-510. DOI Scopus38 WoS36 Europe PMC16

Conference Papers

Year	Citation
2020	Pollett, P., & Ross, J. (2020). Costs and decisions in population management: Koalas on Kangaroo Island. In MODSIM 2005 - International Congress on Modelling and Simulation: Advances and Applications for Management and Decision Making, Proceedings (pp. 2082-2088).
2020	Cairns, B. J., Ross, J. V., & Taimre, T. (2020). Models for predicting extinction times: Shall we dance (or walk or jump)?. In MODSIM 2005 - International Congress on Modelling and Simulation: Advances and Applications for Management and Decision Making, Proceedings (pp. 2061-2067).
2020	Feutrill, A., Roughan, M., Ross, J., & Yarom, Y. (2020). A queueing solution to reduce delay in processing of disclosed vulnerabilities. In Proceedings of the 2nd IEEE International Conference on Trust, Privacy and Security in Intelligent Systems and Applications (TPS-ISA 2020) (pp. 1-11). online: IEEE. DOI
2020	Mitchell, L., Dent, J., & Ross, J. (2020). Mo’ characters mo’ problems: Online social media platform constraints and modes of communication. In AoIRS Selected Papers of Internet Research Vol. 2018 (pp. 10497-1-10497-5). Montreal, Canada: Association of Internet Researchers.
2011	Pagendam, D., & Ross, J. (2011). Optimal GPS tracking for estimating species movements. In Proceedings of MODSIM 2011 (pp. 2261-2267). online: The Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand. Scopus1
2009	Ross, J., & Pollett, P. (2009). Rules of thumb for metapopulation management. In R. Anderssen, R. Braddock, & L. Newham (Eds.), Interfacing modelling and simulation with mathematical and computational sciences : 18th IMACS World Congress, MODSIM09, Cairns, Australia 13-17 July 2009 : proceedings (pp. 1795-1801). Christchurch: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand.
2009	Ross, J. V., & Pollett, P. K. (2009). Rules of thumb for metapopulation management. In 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM 2009 - International Congress on Modelling and Simulation: Interfacing Modelling and Simulation with Mathematical and Computational Sciences, Proceedings (pp. 1795-1801).
2007	Ross, J., & Taimre, T. (2007). On the analysis of hospital infection data using Markov models. In D. Kulasiri, & L. Oxley (Eds.), MODSIM 2007 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (pp. 2939-2945). Christchurch, New Zealand: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand. Scopus1 WoS1
2005	Cairns, B., Ross, J., & Taimre, T. (2005). Models for predicting extinction times: shall we dance (or walk or jump)?. In Proceedings of the 16th Biennial Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM05) (pp. 2061-2067). Canberra, Australia: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand.
2005	Pollett, P., & Ross, J. (2005). Costs and decisions in population management: koalas on Kangaroo Island. In Proceedings of the 16th Biennial Congress on Modelling and Simulation (pp. 2082-2088). Canberra, Australia: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand.

Conference Items

Year	Citation
2019	Brock, A., Ross, J. V., Esterman, A., & Parikh, S. (2019). THE ROLE OF DRUG QUALITY IN THE EMERGENCE AND TRANSMISSION OF ANTIMALARIAL RESISTANCE. Poster session presented at the meeting of AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE. National Harbor, MD: AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE.

Report for External Bodies

Year	Citation
2017	Heinrich, S., Wittmann, T. A., Ross, J. V., Shepherd, C., Challender, D. W. S., & Cassey, P. (2017). The Global Trafficking of Pangolins: A comprehensive summary of seizures and trafficking routes from 2010 –2015. Petaling Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia.: TRAFFIC.

Internet Publications

Year Citation
2016 McVernon, J., Ross, J. V., Glass, K., Mitchell, L., Geard, N., & Moss, R. (2016). Computing helps the study of infections on a global and local scale.
Datasets

Year Citation
- Heinrich, S., Ross, J., & Cassey, P. (n.d.). Ebay_data_AP.csv.
DOI

Year	Citation
2016	McVernon, J., Ross, J. V., Glass, K., Mitchell, L., Geard, N., & Moss, R. (2016). Computing helps the study of infections on a global and local scale.

Year	Citation
-	Heinrich, S., Ross, J., & Cassey, P. (n.d.). Ebay_data_AP.csv. DOI

Filesets

Year	Citation
-	Cope, R., Ross, J., Chilver, M., Stocks, N., & Mitchell, L. (n.d.). Data associated with Cope et al. 2018 'Characterising seasonal influenza epidemiology using primary care surveillance data'. DOI

Research Funding

2021 SA-DTF "SA Genetic Biocontrol Technology Hub" (Genetic Biocontrol Technology for Invasive Pests) (with Prof. Paul Thomas, A/Prof. Phill Cassey, Dr Thomas Prowse, Dr Vicki Thomson, Prof. Rachel Ankeny) ($1,000,000 over 4 years)

2020 National Health and Medical Research Council Partnership Project "Piloting, Implementing and Evaluating First Few Hundred Protocols in the Australian Context" (CIA Prof Jodie McVernon, CIB Prof. Ross Andrews, CIC Prof. Joshua Ross, CID Dr Sebastian Duchene, CIE Prof. Kanta Subbarao, CIF Dr James Fielding, CIG Dr Emma Field, CIH Dr Andrew Black, CII Mr Adrian Marcato, CIJ Ms Kristy Crooks) ($2,092,853 over 3 years)

2019 National Health and Medical Research Council Centre of Research Excellence for Supporting Participatory Evidence generation to Control Transmissible diseases in our Region Using Modelling (CIA Prof. Jodie McVernon, CIB Prof. Barbara McPake, CIC Dr Iadine Chades, CID Prof. Emma McBryde, CIE Prof. Peter Annear, CIF Prof. Ross Andrews, CIG Prof. James McCaw, CIH Prof. Joshua Ross, CII Dr Nic Geard, CIJ Dr Natalie Carvalho) ($2,499,914 over 5 years)

2019 Australian Research Council Linkage Project "Development of genetic technology for rodent population suppression" (with Prof. Paul Thomas, A/Prof. Phillip Cassey and Dr Thomas Prowse) ($1,092,000 over 3 years)

2018 Centre for Invasive Species Solutions Project "Understanding and intervening in illegal trade in non-native species" (with A/Prof. Phill Cassey, Dr Lewis Mitchell, A/Prof. Jeremy Austin, Dr Jonathan Tyler, Dr Peter Caley, Dr David Ramsey, Ms Lindell Andrews, Dr Rebecca Johnson) ($766,000 over 4 years)

2015 Data to Decisions CRC Beat The News Disease Prediction Project (with Dr Lewis Mitchell and Prof. Nigel Bean) ($637,606 over 3 years)

2014 National Health and Medical Research Council Centre of Research Excellence for Policy Relevant Infectious Disease Simulation and Mathematical Modelling (CIA A/Prof. Jodie McVernon, CIB Prof. Archie Clements, CIC Dr Joshua Ross, CID Dr James McCaw, CIE Dr James Wood, CIF A/Prof. Emma McBryde, CIG Dr Kathryn Glass, CIH Dr Nicholas Geard) ($2,495,032 over 5 years)

2014 Australian Research Council Discovery Project "Transport risk pathways for emerging invasive species" (with A/Prof. Phillip Cassey and A/Prof. John Drake) ($343,000 over 3 years)

2013 Australian Research Council Future Fellowship "Developing mathematical models and statistical methods to understand the dynamics of infectious diseases: stochasticity, structure and inference" ($619,381 over 4 years)

2013 Royal Society International Exchanges Scheme Grant "The impact of social mixing on the spread and control of diseases" (with Prof. Matt Keeling) (£11,900 over 2 years)

2011 Australian Research Council Discovery Project "New methods for integrating population structure and stochasticity into models of disease dynamics" ($248,000 over 3 years)

2011 Australian Research Council Discovery Project "New methods for improving active adaptive management in biological systems" (with Prof. Nigel Bean, Prof. Phil Pollett and Prof. Peter Taylor) ($255,000 over 3 years)

Significant Contract Research and Consultancies

2021 SA Health "COVID-Ready modelling" (ongoing)

2021 NSW Department of Industry "Genetic Biocontrol Technology for Pest Mammal Control" (with A/Prof. Phill Cassey, Dr Thomas Prowse, Prof. Paul Thomas) ($1,295,170 over 3 years)

2020 Commonwealth Government "COVID-19 modelling" (partly with Dr Andrew Black)(ongoing)

2017 DST + US Defence "BDSS" (with Dr Andrew Black) (ongoing)

Current Higher Degree by Research Supervision (University of Adelaide)

Date Role Research Topic Program Degree Type Student Load Student Name
2016 Co-Supervisor Wildlife Trafficking and Crime in Southeast Asia Doctor of Philosophy Doctorate Part Time Miss Freyja Watters

Date	Role	Research Topic	Program	Degree Type	Student Load	Student Name
2016	Co-Supervisor	Wildlife Trafficking and Crime in Southeast Asia	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Part Time	Miss Freyja Watters

Past Higher Degree by Research Supervision (University of Adelaide)

Date	Role	Research Topic	Program	Degree Type	Student Load	Student Name
2020 - 2022	Principal Supervisor	Mathematics of Last-Mile Transportation	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Mr Scott James Carnie-Bronca
2020 - 2023	Principal Supervisor	Optimising Battery Replacement in a Fleet of Scooters	Master of Philosophy	Master	Part Time	Mr Joshua Thomas Price
2019 - 2022	Principal Supervisor	Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design for Vaccine Trials	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Mr Joshua Nicholas Bean
2019 - 2021	Co-Supervisor	Inference on historical Ebola outbreaks using hierarchical models: a particle filtering approach	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Mr Dylan John Morris
2018 - 2023	Co-Supervisor	Characterisation and Estimation of Entropy Rate for Long Range Dependent Processes	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	Mr Andrew Robert Feutrill
2018 - 2021	Co-Supervisor	Mathematical Modelling of the Early Stages of Multicellular Evolution	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	Mr Matthew Cody Nitschke
2017 - 2019	Principal Supervisor	Using Approximate Bayesian Computation and Machine Learning Model Selection Techniques to Understand the Impact of Climate on Seasonal Influenza-like Illness in Australia	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Miss Jessica Penfold
2017 - 2019	Principal Supervisor	Optimal Wildlife Smuggling Interdiction	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Miss Rachel Su Yi McLean
2017 - 2021	Principal Supervisor	Mathematical and Statistical Models of Human Behaviour in Digital Epidemiology	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	Mr Dennis Liu
2016 - 2020	Principal Supervisor	Bayesian Inference and Model Selection for Partially-Observed, Continuous-Time, Stochastic Epidemic Models	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	Mr James Nicholas Walker
2016 - 2020	Co-Supervisor	The Global Trade in Pangolin Species from Asia and Africa	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	Ms Sarah Heinrich
2015 - 2017	Principal Supervisor	Household Models for Endemic Diseases	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Mr Jonathon James Pantelis
2015 - 2017	Principal Supervisor	Epidemiological Characterisation of 1918 Pandemic Influenza Aboard Ships	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Mr Lachlan David Bubb
2015 - 2018	Co-Supervisor	Epidemic fade-out in the Markovian SIR-with-demography infection model	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Part Time	Mr Peter Geoffrey Ballard
2014 - 2016	Principal Supervisor	Inference Methods for First Few Hundred Studies	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Mr James Nicholas Walker
2014 - 2016	Co-Supervisor	Inference for Epidemics on Networks	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Mr Brock Anthony Hermans
2014 - 2018	Co-Supervisor	Hybrid methodology for Markovian epidemic models	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	Nicolas Peter Rebuli
2014 - 2017	Co-Supervisor	Optimal Allocation of Vaccines in Metapopulations	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	Mingmei Teo
2013 - 2017	Co-Supervisor	Alien Vertebrate Risk Assessment and Invasion Pathway Modelling	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	Mr Pablo Garcia Diaz
2013 - 2015	Co-Supervisor	Approximations of Stochastic Household Models for Comparing Antiviral Allocation Schemes	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Michael John Lydeamore
2012 - 2016	Co-Supervisor	On the Derivation and Application of Closure Approximations of Cellular Automata Models	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Part Time	Mr Kale James Davies
2012 - 2015	Co-Supervisor	On the Advancement of Optimal Experimental Design with Applications to Infectious Diseases	Doctor of Philosophy	Doctorate	Full Time	David James Price
2012 - 2013	Co-Supervisor	Interval Markov chains: Performance measures and sensitivity analysis	Master of Philosophy	Master	Full Time	Mingmei Teo

Committee Memberships

Date Role Committee Institution Country
2016 - ongoing Representative Executive Committee of ANZIAM ANZIAM -
2015 - ongoing Member Scientific Committee of MATRIX@Melbourne - -
Editorial Boards

Date Role Editorial Board Name Institution Country
2020 - 2023 Associate Editor Royal Society Open Science Royal Society United Kingdom
2015 - ongoing Board Member PLOS Currents Outbreaks - -

Date	Role	Committee	Institution	Country
2016 - ongoing	Representative	Executive Committee of ANZIAM	ANZIAM	-
2015 - ongoing	Member	Scientific Committee of MATRIX@Melbourne	-	-

Date	Role	Editorial Board Name	Institution	Country
2020 - 2023	Associate Editor	Royal Society Open Science	Royal Society	United Kingdom
2015 - ongoing	Board Member	PLOS Currents Outbreaks	-	-

Position: Professor
Phone: 83136420
Email: joshua.ross@adelaide.edu.au
Fax: 83133696
Campus: North Terrace
Building: Ingkarni Wardli, floor 6
Org Unit: Mathematical Sciences

Professor Joshua Ross

Appointments

Awards and Achievements

Education

Research Interests

Journals

Conference Papers

Conference Items

Report for External Bodies

Internet Publications

Datasets

Filesets

Current Higher Degree by Research Supervision (University of Adelaide)

Past Higher Degree by Research Supervision (University of Adelaide)

Committee Memberships

Editorial Boards

Connect With Me

External Profiles

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