| 2025 |
Tomlinson, S., Lomolino, M. V., Wood, J. R., Anderson, A., Perry, G. L. W., Wilmshurst, J. M., . . . Fordham, D. A. (2025). Was extinction of New Zealand's avian megafauna an unavoidable consequence of human arrival?. Science of the Total Environment, 964, 178471-1-178471-10.
DOI |
| 2025 |
Mellin, C., Brown, S., Heron, S. F., & Fordham, D. A. (2025). CoralBleachRisk—Global Projections of Coral Bleaching Risk in the 21st Century. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 34(2), e13955-1-e13955-15.
DOI |
| 2025 |
Freymueller, N. A., Lorenzen, E. D., Brown, S. C., Rahbek, C., & Fordham, D. A. (2025). 21st Century Sea Ice Loss Will Upend 11,700 Years of Stable Habitat for Bowhead Whales. Ecology and Evolution, 15(5), 9 pages.
DOI Europe PMC1 |
| 2024 |
Botterill‐James, T., Cunningham, C. X., Johnson, C. N., Haythorne, S., Fordham, D. A., Brook, B. W., . . . Forsyth, D. M. (2024). Projecting the dynamics of invading deer with pattern‐oriented modelling to support management decision‐making. Journal of Applied Ecology, 61(1), 173-185.
DOI Scopus4 |
| 2024 |
Tomlinson, S., Lomolino, M. V., Anderson, A., Austin, J. J., Brown, S. C., Haythorne, S., . . . Fordham, D. A. (2024). Reconstructing colonization dynamics to establish how human activities transformed island biodiversity. Scientific Reports, 14(1), 5261-1-5261-13.
DOI Scopus5 Europe PMC2 |
| 2024 |
Ullah, H., Fordham, D. A., Goldenberg, S. U., & Nagelkerken, I. (2024). Combining mesocosms with models reveals effects of global warming and ocean acidification on a temperate marine ecosystem. Ecological Applications, 34(4), e2977-1-e2977-19.
DOI Scopus2 Europe PMC2 |
| 2024 |
Fordham, D. A., Brown, S. C., Canteri, E., Austin, J. J., Lomolino, M. V., Haythorne, S., . . . Lorenzen, E. D. (2024). 52,000 years of woolly rhinoceros population dynamics reveal extinction mechanisms. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of USA, 121(24), e2316419121.
DOI Scopus9 Europe PMC5 |
| 2024 |
Mellin, C., Brown, S., Cantin, N., Klein-Salas, E., Mouillot, D., Heron, S. F., & Fordham, D. A. (2024). Cumulative risk of future bleaching for the world’s coral reefs. Science Advances, 10(26), eadn9660-1-eadn9660-9.
DOI Scopus17 Europe PMC14 |
| 2024 |
Wingard, G. L., Schneider, C. L., Dietl, G. P., & Fordham, D. A. (2024). Turning setbacks into stepping-stones for growth in conservation paleobiology. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 12, 1384291-1-1384291-6.
DOI Scopus3 |
| 2024 |
Gienger, A., Nursey-Bray, M., Rodger, D., Szorenyi, A., Weinstein, P., Hanson-Easey, S., . . . Yoneyama, S. (2024). Responsible environmental education in the anthropocene: understanding and Responding to young people’s experiences of nature disconnection, eco-anxiety and ontological insecurity. Environmental Education Research, 30(9), 1619-1649.
DOI Scopus6 |
| 2024 |
Tomlinson, S., Lomolino, M. V., Wood, J. R., Anderson, A., Brown, S. C., Haythorne, S., . . . Fordham, D. A. (2024). Ecological dynamics of moa extinctions reveal convergent refugia that today harbour flightless birds. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 8(8), 1472-1481.
DOI Scopus3 Europe PMC4 |
| 2024 |
Fordham, D. A. (2024). Identifying species traits that predict vulnerability to climate change. Cambridge Prisms Extinction, 2, e21.
DOI Scopus2 |
| 2023 |
Tomlinson, S., Lomolino, M., Woinarski, J., Murphy, B., Reed, E., Johnson, C., . . . Fordham, D. (2023). Reconstructing mechanisms of extinctions to guide mammal
conservation biogeography. Journal of Biogeography, 50(7), 1199-1212.
DOI Scopus4 |
| 2023 |
Hill, K. E., Brown, S. C., Jones, A., Fordham, D., & Hill, R. S. (2023). Modelling Climate Using Leaves of Nothofagus cunninghamii—Overcoming Confounding Factors. Sustainability, 15(9), 7603.
DOI |
| 2023 |
Pecl, G. T., Kelly, R., Lucas, C., van Putten, I., Badhe, R., Champion, C., . . . Verges, A. (2023). Climate-driven ‘species-on-the-move’ provide tangible anchors to engage the public on climate change. People and Nature, 5(5), 1-19.
DOI Scopus13 |
| 2023 |
Tomlinson, S., Lomolino, M., Wood, J., Anderson, A., Brown, S., Haythorne, S., . . . Fordham, D. (2023). Ecological dynamics of moa extinctions reveal convergent refugia that today harbor flightless birds..
DOI |
| 2023 |
Westbury, M. V., Brown, S. C., Lorenzen, J., O'Neill, S., Scott, M. B., McCuaig, J., . . . Lorenzen, E. D. (2023). Impact of Holocene environmental change on the evolutionary ecology of an Arctic top predator. Science advances, 9(45), 1-12.
DOI Scopus4 Europe PMC4 |
| 2023 |
Pilowsky, J. A., Brown, S. C., Llamas, B., van Loenen, A. L., Kowalczyk, R., Hofman-Kamińska, E., . . . Fordham, D. A. (2023). Millennial processes of population decline, range contraction and near extinction of the European bison.. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 290(2013), 11 pages.
DOI Scopus7 Europe PMC5 |
| 2022 |
Brown, S. C., Mellin, C., García Molinos, J., Lorenzen, E. D., & Fordham, D. A. (2022). Faster ocean warming threatens richest areas of marine biodiversity. Global Change Biology, 28(19), 5849-5858.
DOI Scopus15 WoS1 Europe PMC8 |
| 2022 |
Pilowsky, J. A., Colwell, R. K., Rahbek, C., & Fordham, D. A. (2022). Process-explicit models reveal the structure and dynamics of biodiversity patterns. Science Advances, 8(31), 1-12.
DOI Scopus49 WoS16 Europe PMC29 |
| 2022 |
Canteri, E., Brown, S. C., Schmidt, N. M., Heller, R., Nogues‐Bravo, D., & Fordham, D. A. (2022). Spatiotemporal influences of climate and humans on muskox range dynamics over multiple millennia. Global Change Biology, 28(22), 6602-6617.
DOI Scopus17 WoS6 Europe PMC9 |
| 2022 |
Pilowsky, J. A., Manica, A., Brown, S., Rahbek, C., & Fordham, D. A. (2022). Simulations of human migration into North America are more sensitive to demography than choice of palaeoclimate model. Ecological Modelling, 473, 110115-1-110115-6.
DOI Scopus4 WoS1 |
| 2022 |
Mellin, C., Hicks, C. C., Fordham, D. A., Golden, C. D., Kjellevold, M., MacNeil, M. A., . . . Graham, N. A. J. (2022). Safeguarding nutrients from coral reefs under climate change. Nature ecology & evolution, 6(12), 1808-1817.
DOI Scopus37 WoS10 Europe PMC12 |
| 2022 |
Pilowsky, J. A., Haythorne, S., Brown, S. C., Krapp, M., Armstrong, E., Brook, B. W., . . . Fordham, D. A. (2022). Range and extinction dynamics of the steppe bison in Siberia: A pattern‐oriented modelling approach. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 31(12), 2483-2497.
DOI Scopus13 WoS2 |
| 2022 |
Fordham, D. A., Brown, S. C., Akçakaya, H. R., Brook, B. W., Haythorne, S., Manica, A., . . . Nogues‐Bravo, D. (2022). Cover Image. Ecology Letters, 25(1).
DOI |
| 2021 |
Lomolino, M. V., Tomlinson, S., Wood, J., Wilmshurst, J., & Fordham, D. A. (2021). Geographic and ecological segregation in an extinct guild of flightless birds: New Zealand’s moa. Frontiers of Biogeography, 13(4), 1-13.
DOI Scopus5 |
| 2021 |
Ullah, M. H., Fordham, D. A., & Nagelkerken, I. (2021). Climate change negates positive CO₂ effects on marine species biomass and productivity by altering the strength and direction of trophic interactions. Science of the Total Environment, 801, 1-8.
DOI Scopus5 WoS2 Europe PMC1 |
| 2021 |
Fordham, D. A., Haythorne, S., Brown, S. C., Buettel, J. C., & Brook, B. W. (2021). poems: R package for simulating species' range dynamics using pattern-oriented validation. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 12(12), 2364-2371.
DOI Scopus23 WoS8 |
| 2021 |
Canteri, E., Fordham, D. A., Li, S., Hosner, P. A., Rahbek, C., & Nogués‐Bravo, D. (2021). IUCN Red List protects avian genetic diversity. Ecography, 44(12), 1808-1811.
DOI Scopus13 WoS4 |
| 2021 |
Fordham, D. A., Brown, S. C., Akçakaya, H. R., Brook, B. W., Haythorne, S., Manica, A., . . . Nogues‐Bravo, D. (2021). Process‐explicit models reveal pathway to extinction for woolly mammoth using pattern‐oriented validation. Ecology Letters, 25(1), 125-137.
DOI Scopus31 WoS12 Europe PMC22 |
| 2020 |
Theodoridis, S., Fordham, D. A., Brown, S. C., Li, S., Rahbek, C., & Nogues-Bravo, D. (2020). Evolutionary history and past climate change shape the distribution of genetic diversity in terrestrial mammals. Nature Communications, 11(1), 2557-1-2557-11.
DOI Scopus75 WoS45 Europe PMC46 |
| 2020 |
Fordham, D. A., Jackson, S. T., Brown, S. C., Huntley, B., Brook, B. W., Dahl-Jensen, D., . . . Nogues-Bravo, D. (2020). Using paleo-archives to safeguard biodiversity under climate change. Science, 369(6507), 5654-[1]-5654[10].
DOI Scopus138 WoS68 Europe PMC44 |
| 2020 |
Jones, A. R., Jessop, T. S., Ariefiandy, A., Brook, B. W., Brown, S. C., Ciofi, C., . . . Fordham, D. A. (2020). Identifying island safe havens to prevent the extinction of the World’s largest lizard from global warming. Ecology and Evolution, 10(19), 10492-10507.
DOI Scopus16 WoS9 Europe PMC3 |
| 2020 |
Brown, S. C., Wigley, T. M. L., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., & Fordham, D. A. (2020). StableClim, continuous projections of climate stability from 21000 BP to 2100 CE at multiple spatial scales. Scientific Data, 7(1), 1-13.
DOI Scopus17 WoS9 Europe PMC8 |
| 2020 |
Phelps, L. N., Broennimann, O., Manning, K., Timpson, A., Jousse, H., Mariethoz, G., . . . Guisan, A. (2020). Reconstructing the climatic niche breadth of land use for animal production during the African Holocene. GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY, 29(1), 127-147.
DOI Scopus19 WoS12 |
| 2020 |
Brown, S. C., Wigley, T. M. L., Otto-Bliesner, B., Rahbek, C., & Fordham, D. A. (2020). Persistent Quaternary climate refugia are hospices for biodiversity in the Anthropocene. Nature Climate Change, 10(3), 244-248.
DOI Scopus83 WoS54 |
| 2020 |
Brown, S., Wells, K., Roy-Dufresne, E., Campbell, S., Cook, B., Cox, T., & Fordham, D. (2020). Models of spatiotemporal variation in rabbit abundance reveal management hotspots for an invasive species. Ecological Applications, 30(4), e02083-1-e02083-16.
DOI Scopus12 WoS9 Europe PMC2 |
| 2019 |
Mellin, C., Matthews, S., Anthony, K. R. N., Brown, S. C., Caley, M. J., Johns, K. A., . . . MacNeil, M. A. (2019). Spatial resilience of the Great Barrier Reef under cumulative disturbance impacts. Global Change Biology, 25(7), 2431-2445.
DOI Scopus109 WoS70 Europe PMC33 |
| 2019 |
Roy-Dufresne, E., Lurgi, M., Brown, S. C., Wells, K., Cooke, B., Mutze, G., . . . Fordham, D. A. (2019). The Australian National Rabbit Database: 50 yr of population monitoring of an invasive species. Ecology, 100(7), 1 page.
DOI Scopus13 WoS6 Europe PMC6 |
| 2019 |
Fordham, D. A., Brown, S. C., Wigley, T. M. L., & Rahbek, C. (2019). Cradles of diversity are unlikely relics of regional climate stability. Current Biology, 29(10), R356-R357.
DOI Scopus14 WoS12 Europe PMC6 |
| 2019 |
Murphy, B. P., Woolley, L. A., Geyle, H. M., Legge, S. M., Palmer, R., Dickman, C. R., . . . Woinarski, J. C. Z. (2019). Introduced cats (Felis catus) eating a continental fauna: the number of mammals killed in Australia. Biological Conservation, 237, 28-40.
DOI Scopus100 WoS80 Europe PMC1 |
| 2019 |
Roy-Dufresne, E., Saltre, F., Cooke, B. D., Mellin, C., Mutze, G., Cox, T., & Fordham, D. A. (2019). Modeling the distribution of a wide-ranging invasive species using the sampling efforts of expert and citizen scientists. Ecology and Evolution, 9(19), 11053-11063.
DOI Scopus37 WoS23 Europe PMC10 |
| 2018 |
Ullah, H., Nagelkerken, I., Goldenberg, S., & Fordham, D. (2018). Climate change could drive marine food web collapse through altered trophic flows and cyanobacterial proliferation. PLoS Biology, 16(1), e2003446-1-e2003446-21.
DOI Scopus193 WoS124 Europe PMC75 |
| 2018 |
Lurgi, M., Ritchie, E., & Fordham, D. (2018). Eradicating abundant invasive prey could cause unexpected and varied biodiversity outcomes: The importance of multispecies interactions. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(5), 2396-2407.
DOI Scopus39 WoS31 Europe PMC3 |
| 2018 |
Wells, K., Fordham, D., Brook, B., Cassey, P., Cox, T., O'Hara, R., & Schwensow, N. (2018). Disentangling synergistic disease dynamics: Implications for the viral biocontrol of rabbits. Journal of Animal Ecology, 87(5), 1418-1428.
DOI Scopus11 WoS10 Europe PMC7 |
| 2018 |
Martínez, B., Radford, B., Thomsen, M., Connell, S., Carreño, F., Bradshaw, C., . . . Wernberg, T. (2018). Distribution models predict large contractions of habitat-forming seaweeds in response to ocean warming. Diversity and Distributions, 24(10), 1350-1366.
DOI Scopus140 WoS103 |
| 2018 |
Nogués-Bravo, D., Rodríguez-Sánchez, F., Orsini, L., de Boer, E., Jansson, R., Morlon, H., . . . Jackson, S. (2018). Cracking the code of biodiversity responses to past climate change. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 33(10), 765-776.
DOI Scopus135 WoS90 Europe PMC64 |
| 2018 |
Jessop, T., Ariefiandy, A., Purwandana, D., Ciofi, C., Imansyah, J., Benu, Y., . . . Phillips, B. (2018). Exploring mechanisms and origins of reduced dispersal in island Komodo dragons. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 285(1891), 20181829-1-20181829-10.
DOI Scopus21 WoS17 Europe PMC6 |
| 2018 |
Fordham, D. A., & Nogues-Bravo, D. (2018). Open-access data is uncovering past responses of biodiversity to global environmental change. Pages Magazine, 26(2), 77.
DOI |
| 2018 |
Fordham, D., Saltré, F., Brown, S., Mellin, C., & Wigley, T. (2018). Why decadal to century timescale paleoclimate data is needed to explain present-day patterns of biological diversity and change. Global Change Biology, 24(3), 1371-1381.
DOI Scopus31 WoS23 Europe PMC9 |
| 2018 |
Fordham, D., Bertelsmeier, C., Brook, B., Early, R., Neto, D., Brown, S., . . . Araújo, M. (2018). How complex should models be? Comparing correlative and mechanistic range dynamics models. Global Change Biology, 24(3), 1357-1370.
DOI Scopus86 WoS63 Europe PMC30 |
| 2017 |
Wallach, A., Dekker, A., Lurgi, M., Montoya, J., Fordham, D., & Ritchie, E. (2017). Trophic cascades in 3D: network analysis reveals how apex predators structure ecosystems. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 8(1), 135-142.
DOI Scopus36 WoS24 |
| 2017 |
Deane, D., Fordham, D., He, F., & Bradshaw, C. (2017). Future extinction risk of wetland plants is higher from individual patch loss than total area reduction. Biological Conservation, 209, 27-33.
DOI Scopus34 WoS24 Europe PMC2 |
| 2017 |
Caddy-Retalic, S., Andersen, A. N., Aspinwall, M., Breed, M. F., Byrne, M., Christmas, M., . . . Lowe, A. J. (2017). Bioclimatic transect networks: powerful observatories of ecological change. Ecology and Evolution, 7(13), 4607-4619.
DOI Scopus23 WoS20 Europe PMC6 |
| 2017 |
Fordham, D., Saltré, F., Haythorne, S., Wigley, T., Otto-Bliesner, B., Chan, K., & Brook, B. (2017). PaleoView: a tool for generating continuous climate projections spanning the last 21 000 years at regional and global scales. Ecography, 40(11), 1348-1358.
DOI Scopus191 WoS135 |
| 2017 |
Deane, D., Fordham, D., Stevens, A., & Bradshaw, C. (2017). Dispersal-driven homogenization of wetland vegetation revealed from local contributions to β-diversity. Journal of Vegetation Science, 28(5), 893-902.
DOI Scopus5 WoS1 |
| 2016 |
Mellin, C., Lurgi, M., Matthews, S., MacNeil, M. A., Caley, M. J., Bax, N., . . . Fordham, D. A. (2016). Forecasting marine invasions under climate change: biotic interactions and demographic processes matter. Biological Conservation, 204(B), 459-467.
DOI Scopus35 WoS27 Europe PMC5 |
| 2016 |
Jones, A. R., Bull, C. M., Brook, B. W., Wells, K., Pollock, K. H., & Fordham, D. A. (2016). Tick exposure and extreme climate events impact survival and threaten the persistence of a long-lived lizard. Journal of Animal Ecology, 85(2), 598-610.
DOI Scopus23 WoS21 Europe PMC6 |
| 2016 |
Saltre, F., Rodriguez-Rey, M., Brook, B., Johnson, C., Turney, C., Alroy, J., . . . Bradshaw, C. (2016). Climate change not to blame for late Quaternary megafauna extinctions in Australia. Nature Communications, 7(1), 10511-1-10511-7.
DOI Scopus120 WoS101 Europe PMC50 |
| 2016 |
Mellin, C., Mouillot, D., Kulbicki, M., McClanahan, T., Vigliola, L., Bradshaw, C., . . . Caley, M. (2016). Humans and seasonal climate variability threaten large-bodied coral reef fish with small ranges. Nature Communications, 7(1), 10491-1-10491-9.
DOI Scopus45 WoS32 Europe PMC18 |
| 2016 |
Block, S., Saltre, F., Rodriguez-Rey, M., Fordham, D., Unkel, I., & Bradshaw, C. (2016). Where to dig for fossils: combining climate-envelope, taphonomy and discovery models. PLoS One, 11(3), e0151090-1-e0151090-16.
DOI Scopus15 WoS11 Europe PMC7 |
| 2016 |
Wells, K., O Hara, R., Cooke, B., Mutze, G., Prowse, T., & Fordham, D. (2016). Environmental effects and individual body condition drive seasonal fecundity of rabbits: identifying acute and lagged processes. Oecologia, 181(3), 853-864.
DOI Scopus27 WoS24 Europe PMC10 |
| 2016 |
Fordham, D., Haythorne, S., & Brook, B. (2016). Sensitivity Analysis of Range Dynamics Models (SARDM): quantifying the influence of parameter uncertainty on forecasts of extinction risk from global change. Environmental Modelling and Software, 83, 193-197.
DOI Scopus14 WoS11 |
| 2016 |
Deane, D., Fordham, D., He, F., & Bradshaw, C. (2016). Diversity patterns of seasonal wetland plant communities mainly driven by rare terrestrial species. Biodiversity and Conservation, 25(8), 1569-1585.
DOI Scopus16 WoS11 |
| 2016 |
Wadley, J., Fordham, D., Thomson, V., Ritchie, E., & Austin, J. (2016). Phylogeography of the antilopine wallaroo (Macropus antilopinus) across tropical northern Australia. Ecology and Evolution, 6(22), 8050-8061.
DOI Scopus4 WoS4 Europe PMC4 |
| 2016 |
Wells, K., Cassey, P., Sinclair, R., Mutze, G., Peacock, D., Lacy, R., . . . Fordham, D. (2016). Targeting season and age for optimizing control of invasive rabbits. Journal of Wildlife Management, 80(6), 990-999.
DOI Scopus9 WoS7 |
| 2016 |
Lurgi, M., Wells, K., Kennedy, M., Campbell, S., & Fordham, D. (2016). A landscape approach to invasive species management. PLOS ONE, 11(7), e0160417-1-e0160417-20.
DOI Scopus23 WoS16 Europe PMC2 |
| 2016 |
Fordham, D., Akçakaya, H., Alroy, J., Saltré, F., Wigley, T., & Brook, B. (2016). Predicting and mitigating future biodiversity loss using long-term ecological proxies. Nature Climate Change, 6(10), 909-916.
DOI Scopus46 WoS35 |
| 2016 |
Soubrier, J., Gower, G., Chen, K., Richards, S., Llamas, B., Mitchell, K., . . . Cooper, A. (2016). Early cave art and ancient DNA record the origin of European bison. Nature Communications, 7(1), 13158-1-13158-7.
DOI Scopus81 WoS68 Europe PMC34 |
| 2016 |
Fordham, D., Brook, B., Hoskin, C., Pressey, R., VanDerWal, J., & Williams, S. (2016). Extinction debt from climate change for frogs in the wet tropics. Biology Letters, 12(10), 20160236-1-20160236-5.
DOI Scopus18 WoS16 Europe PMC5 |
| 2015 |
Brook, B., & Fordham, D. (2015). Hot topics in biodiversity and climate change research.. F1000Research, 4(F1000 Faculty Rev), 928.
DOI |
| 2015 |
Fordham, D. A. (2015). Mesocosms reveal ecological surprises from climate change. PLoS Biology, 13(12), e1002323-1-e1002323-7.
DOI Scopus35 WoS27 Europe PMC20 |
| 2015 |
Wells, K., Brook, B., Lacy, R., Mutze, G., Peacock, D., Sinclair, R., . . . Fordham, D. (2015). Timing and severity of immunizing diseases in rabbits is controlled by seasonal matching of host and pathogen dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 12(103), 20141184-1-20141184-11.
DOI Scopus31 WoS24 Europe PMC19 |
| 2015 |
Prowse, T., Gillanders, B., Brook, B., Fowler, A., Hall, K., Steer, M., . . . Fordham, D. (2015). Evidence for a broad-scale decline in giant Australian cuttlefish (Sepia apama) abundance from non-targeted survey data. Marine and Freshwater Research, 66(8), 692-700.
DOI Scopus3 WoS2 |
| 2015 |
Purwandana, D., Ariefiandy, A., Imansyah, M., Ciofi, C., Forsyth, D., Gormley, A., . . . Jessop, T. (2015). Evaluating environmental, demographic and genetic effects on population-level survival in an island endemic. Ecography, 38(10), 1060-1070.
DOI Scopus19 WoS18 |
| 2015 |
Lurgi, M., Brook, B., Saltré, F., & Fordham, D. (2015). Modelling range dynamics under global change: which framework and why?. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6(3), 247-256.
DOI Scopus55 WoS47 |
| 2014 |
Liu, J., Fordham, D., Cooke, B., Cox, T., Mutze, G., & Strive, T. (2014). Distribution and prevalence of the Australian non-pathogenic rabbit calicivirus is correlated with rainfall and temperature. PLoS One, 9(12), e113976-1-e113976-15.
DOI Scopus27 WoS25 Europe PMC19 |
| 2014 |
Martins Sequeira, A., Mellin, C., Fordham, D., Meekan, M., & Bradshaw, C. (2014). Predicting current and future global distributions of whale sharks. Global Change Biology, 20(3), 778-789.
DOI Scopus67 WoS43 Europe PMC12 |
| 2014 |
Purwandana, D., Ariefiandy, A., Imansyah, M., Rudiharto, H., Seno, A., Ciofi, C., . . . Jessop, T. (2014). Demographic status of Komodo dragons populations in Komodo National Park. Biological Conservation, 171, 29-35.
DOI Scopus43 WoS29 Europe PMC3 |
| 2014 |
Wadley, J., Austin, J., & Fordham, D. (2014). Genetic inference as a method for modelling occurrence: a viable alternative to visual surveys. Austral Ecology, 39(8), 952-962.
DOI Scopus5 WoS4 Europe PMC1 |
| 2014 |
Bradshaw, C., Brook, B., Delean, S., Fordham, D., Herrando-Pérez, S., Cassey, P., . . . Araújo, M. (2014). Predictors of contraction and expansion of area of occupancy for British birds. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London: Biological Sciences, 281(1786), 20140744-1-20140744-9.
DOI Scopus43 WoS22 Europe PMC17 |
| 2014 |
Mellin, C., Bradshaw, C., Fordham, D., & Caley, M. (2014). Strong but opposing β-diversity-stability relationships in coral reef fish communities. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 281(1777), 1-10.
DOI Scopus48 WoS42 Europe PMC19 |
| 2014 |
Fordham, D. A., Brook, B. W., Moritz, C., & Nogués-Bravo, D. (2014). Better forecasts of range dynamics using genetic data. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 29(8), 436-443.
DOI Scopus84 WoS75 Europe PMC50 |
| 2014 |
Fordham, D., Shoemaker, K., Schumaker, N., Akçakaya, H., Clisby, N., & Brook, B. (2014). How interactions between animal movement and landscape processes modify local range dynamics and extinction risk. Biology Letters, 10(5), 20140198-1-20140198-5.
DOI Scopus24 WoS23 Europe PMC7 |
| 2014 |
Gregory, S., Ancrenaz, M., Brook, B., Goossens, B., Alfred, R., Ambu, L., & Fordham, D. (2014). Forecasts of habitat suitability improve habitat corridor efficacy in rapidly changing environments. Diversity and Distributions, 20(9), 1044-1057.
DOI Scopus18 WoS12 |
| 2014 |
Harris, J., Dwi Putra, D., Gregory, S., Brook, B., Prawiradilaga, D., Sodhi, N., . . . Fordham, D. (2014). Rapid deforestation threatens mid-elevational endemic birds but climate change is most important at higher elevations. Diversity and Distributions, 20(7), 773-785.
DOI Scopus45 WoS37 |
| 2014 |
Harris, D., Gregory, S., Brook, B., Ritchie, E., Croft, D., Coulson, G., & Fordham, D. (2014). The influence of non-climate predictors at local and landscape resolutions depends on the autecology of the species. Austral Ecology, 39(6), 710-721.
DOI Scopus9 WoS7 Europe PMC2 |
| 2014 |
Shoemaker, K., Lacy, R., Verant, M., Brook, B., Livieri, T., Miller, P., . . . Resit Akçakaya, H. (2014). Effects of prey metapopulation structure on the viability of black-footed ferrets in plague-impacted landscapes: a metamodelling approach. Journal of Applied Ecology, 51(3), 735-745.
DOI Scopus22 WoS15 Europe PMC4 |
| 2014 |
Pearson, R., Stanton, J., Shoemaker, K., Aiello-Lammens, M., Ersts, P., Horning, N., . . . Akcakaya, H. (2014). Life history and spatial traits predict extinction risk due to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 4(3), 217-221.
DOI Scopus350 WoS284 |
| 2013 |
Wadley, J., Austin, J., Gardner, M., & Fordham, D. (2013). Fifteen microsatellite loci for use in non-invasive sampling studies of the antilopine wallaroo (Macropus antilopinus). Australian Journal of Zoology, 61(5), 399-401.
DOI |
| 2013 |
Fordham, D., Akcakaya, H., Brook, B., Rodriguez, E., Alves, P., Civantos, E., . . . Araujo, M. (2013). Adapted conservation measures are required to save the Iberian lynx in a changing climate. Nature Climate Change, 3(10), 899-903.
DOI Scopus108 WoS83 |
| 2013 |
Watts, M., Fordham, D., Akcakaya, H., Aiello-Lammens, M., & Brook, B. (2013). Tracking shifting range margins using geographical centroids of metapopulations weighted by population density. Ecological Modelling, 269, 61-69.
DOI Scopus16 WoS12 |
| 2013 |
Fordham, D., Akcakaya, H., Araujo, M., Keith, D., & Brook, B. (2013). Tools for integrating range change, extinction risk and climate change information into conservation management. Ecography, 36(9), 956-964.
DOI Scopus99 WoS83 |
| 2013 |
Harris, J., Yong, D., Sodhi, N., Subaraj, R., Fordham, D., & Brook, B. (2013). Changes in autumn arrival of long-distance migratory birds in Southeast Asia. Climate Research, 57(2), 133-141.
DOI Scopus8 WoS8 |
| 2013 |
Fordham, D., Mellin, C., Russell, B., Akcakaya, H., Bradshaw, C., Aiello-Lammens, M., . . . Brook, B. (2013). Population dynamics can be more important than physiological limits for determining range shifts under climate change. Global Change Biology, 19(10), 3224-3237.
DOI Scopus76 WoS65 Europe PMC26 |
| 2013 |
Fordham, D., Brook, B., Caley, M., Bradshaw, C., & Mellin, C. (2013). Conservation management and sustainable harvest quotas are sensitive to choice of climate modelling approach for two marine gastropods. Diversity and Distributions, 19(10), 1299-1312.
DOI Scopus8 WoS5 |
| 2013 |
Haby, N., Prowse, T., Gregory, S., Watts, M., Delean, J., Fordham, D., . . . Brook, B. (2013). Scale dependency of metapopulation models used to predict climate change impacts on small mammals. Ecography, 36(7), 832-841.
DOI Scopus6 WoS5 |
| 2013 |
Wadley, J., Austin, J., & Fordham, D. (2013). Rapid species identification of eight sympatric northern Australian macropods from faecal-pellet DNA. Wildlife Research, 40(3), 241-249.
DOI Scopus9 WoS9 |
| 2013 |
Bradshaw, C., Bowman, D., Bond, N., Murphy, B., Moore, A., Fordham, D., . . . Specht, A. (2013). Brave new green world - consequences of a carbon economy for the conservation of Australian biodiversity. Biological Conservation, 161, 71-90.
DOI Scopus63 WoS58 Europe PMC8 |
| 2013 |
Delean, J., Bull, C., Brook, B., Heard, L., & Fordham, D. (2013). Using plant distributions to predict the current and future range of a rare lizard. Diversity and Distributions, 19(9), 1125-1137.
DOI Scopus18 WoS11 |
| 2012 |
Hindell, M., Bradshaw, C., Brook, B., Fordham, D., Knowles, K., Hull, C., & McMahon, C. (2012). Long-term breeding phenology shift in royal penguins. Ecology and Evolution, 2(7), 1563-1571.
DOI Scopus28 WoS23 Europe PMC13 |
| 2012 |
Russell, B., Connell, S., Mellin, C., Brook, B., Burnell, O., & Fordham, D. (2012). Predicting the distribution of commercially important invertebrate stocks under future climate. PLoS One, 7(12), 1-9.
DOI Scopus19 WoS9 Europe PMC5 |
| 2012 |
Fordham, D., Sinclair, R., Peacock, D., Mutze, G., Kovaliski, J., Cassey, P., . . . Brook, B. (2012). European rabbit survival and recruitment are linked to epidemiological and environmental conditions in their exotic range. Austral Ecology, 37(8), 945-957.
DOI Scopus19 WoS15 |
| 2012 |
Gregory, S., Brook, B., Goossens, B., Ancrenaz, M., Alfred, R., Ambu, L., & Fordham, D. (2012). Long-term field data and climate-habitat models show that orangutan persistence depends on effective forest management and greenhouse gas mitigation. PLoS One, 7(9), 1-10.
DOI Scopus26 WoS21 Europe PMC9 |
| 2012 |
Fordham, D., Watts, M., Delean, J., Brook, B., Heard, L., & Bull, C. (2012). Managed relocation as an adaptation strategy for mitigating climate change threats to the persistence of an endangered lizard. Global Change Biology, 18(9), 2743-2755.
DOI Scopus57 WoS45 Europe PMC11 |
| 2012 |
Harris, J., Fordham, D., Mooney, P., Pedler, L., Araujo, M., Paton, D., . . . Brook, B. (2012). Managing the long-term persistence of a rare cockatoo under climate change. Journal of Applied Ecology, 49(4), 785-794.
DOI Scopus23 WoS22 Europe PMC5 |
| 2012 |
Read, J., Kovac, K., Brook, B., & Fordham, D. (2012). Booming during a bust: Asynchronous population responses of arid zone lizards to climatic variables. Acta Oecologica-International Journal of Ecology, 40, 51-61.
DOI Scopus28 WoS22 |
| 2012 |
Fordham, D., Akcakaya, H., Araujo, M., Elith, J., Keith, D., Pearson, R., . . . Brook, B. (2012). Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming?. Global Change Biology, 18(0004), 1357-1371.
DOI Scopus198 WoS172 |
| 2012 |
Fordham, D., Wigley, T., Watts, M., & Brook, B. (2012). Strengthening forecasts of climate change impacts with multi-model ensemble averaged projections using MAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3. Ecography, 35(1), 4-8.
DOI Scopus63 WoS57 |
| 2012 |
Bradshaw, C., McMahon, C., Miller, P., Lacy, R., Watts, M., Verant, M., . . . Brook, B. (2012). Novel coupling of individual-based epidemiological and demographic models predicts realistic dynamics of tuberculosis in alien buffalo. Journal of Applied Ecology, 49(1), 268-277.
DOI Scopus28 WoS25 Europe PMC6 |
| 2012 |
Harris, J., Reid, J., Scheffers, B., Wanger, T., Sodhi, N., Fordham, D., & Brook, B. (2012). Conserving imperiled species: a comparison of the IUCN Red List and U.S. Endangered Species Act. Conservation Letters, 5(1), 64-72.
DOI Scopus47 WoS42 |
| 2012 |
Mellin, C., Russell, B., Connell, S., Brook, B., & Fordham, D. (2012). Geographic range determinants of two commercially important marine molluscs. Diversity and Distributions, 18(2), 133-146.
DOI Scopus30 WoS28 |
| 2011 |
Harris, J., Sekercioglu, C., Sodhi, N., Fordham, D., Paton, D., & Brook, B. (2011). The tropical frontier in avian climate impact research. Ibis, 153(4), 877-882.
DOI Scopus43 WoS37 |
| 2011 |
Watts, M., Li, Y., Russell, B., Mellin, C., Connell, S., & Fordham, D. (2011). A novel method for mapping reefs and subtidal rocky habitats using artificial neural networks. Ecological Modelling, 222(15), 2606-2614.
DOI Scopus20 WoS17 |
| 2011 |
Fordham, D., Wigley, T., & Brook, B. (2011). Multi-model climate projections for biodiversity risk assessments. Ecological Applications, 21(8), 3317-3331.
DOI Scopus94 WoS73 |
| 2010 |
Fordham, D., & Brook, B. (2010). Why tropical island endemics are acutely susceptible to global change. Biodiversity and Conservation, 19(2 Sp Iss), 329-342.
DOI Scopus114 WoS87 Europe PMC21 |
| 2010 |
Firth, R., Brook, B., Woinarski, J., & Fordham, D. (2010). Decline and likely extinction of a northern Australian native rodent, the Brush-tailed Rabbit-rat Conilurus penicillatus. Biological Conservation, 143(5), 1193-1201.
DOI Scopus60 WoS56 Europe PMC11 |
| 2009 |
Anderson, B., Akcakaya, H., Araujo, M., Fordham, D., Martinez-Meyer, E., Thuiller, W., & Brook, B. (2009). Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences, 276(1661), 1415-1420.
DOI Scopus267 WoS253 Europe PMC92 |
| 2009 |
Fordham, D., Georges, A., & Brook, B. (2009). Experimental evidence for density-dependent responses to mortality of snake-necked turtles. Oecologia, 159(2), 271-281.
DOI Scopus20 WoS21 Europe PMC3 |
| 2008 |
Fordham, D., Georges, A., & Brook, B. (2008). Indigenous harvest, exotic pig predation and local persistence of a long-lived vertebrate: managing a tropical freshwater turtle for sustainability and conservation. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45(1), 52-62.
DOI Scopus62 WoS54 Europe PMC11 |
| 2007 |
Fordham, D., Georges, A., & Brook, B. (2007). Demographic response of snake-necked turtles correlates with indigenous harvest and feral pig predation in tropical northern Australia. Journal of Animal Ecology, 76(6), 1231-1243.
DOI Scopus40 WoS40 Europe PMC11 |
| 2007 |
Fordham, D., Georges, A., & Corey, B. (2007). Optimal conditions for egg storage, incubation and post-hatching growth for the freshwater turtle, Chelodina rugosa: Science in support of an indigenous enterprise. Aquaculture, 240(1-4), 105-114.
DOI Scopus24 WoS18 Europe PMC7 |
| 2006 |
Fordham, D., Georges, A., & Corey, B. (2006). Compensation for inundation-induced embryonic diapause in a freshwater turtle: achieving predictability in the face of environmental stochasticity. Functional Ecology, 20(4), 670-677.
DOI Scopus13 WoS12 |
| 2006 |
Fordham, D., Georges, A., Corey, B., & Brook, B. (2006). Feral pig predation threatens the indigenous harvest and local persistence of snake-necked turtles in northern Australia. Biological Conservation, 133(3), 379-388.
DOI Scopus75 WoS65 |
| - |
Roy-Dufresne, E., Saltré, F., Cooke, B., Mellin, C., Mutze, G., Cox, T., & Fordham, D. (n.d.). Supplementary material from: Modelling the distribution of a wide-ranging invasive species using the sampling efforts of expert and citizen scientists..
DOI |
